应用人工神经网络理论的船舶运动包络预报方法

本文首先介绍了人工神经网络理论的基本内容以及前馈网络反向传播的训练方法，然后应用单隐含层网络作出船舶运动包络的实时预报。文中就一船舶的海上实测运动数据进行了实例计算，结果表明，本文方法的预报结果明显好于其它模型的自适应预报结果。     

基于计算机视觉的驾驶员转向操作实时监测研究

为实时监控驾驶员操纵转向盘的状态，构建了基于机器视觉汽车转向盘实时监控系统，并运用阈值分割和边缘检测方法对转向盘图像中感兴趣区域进行了图像分割，提出了转向盘转角的计算公式。试验结果表明，感兴趣区域图像分割与转向盘转角监测方法有效。     

工程机械组群动态组织与集成管理系统研究

阐述了工程机械组群动态组织与集成管理系统的组成，特点和发展趋势，分析了系统的技术关键发及技术性能，确定了系统的构成方案，详细探讨了各功能单元的结合关系以及系统的社会，经济效益。     

分布式工业进程参数监测系统实时多任务软件的设计

作者从操作系统的观点出发,分析分布式工业过程参数监测系统实时多任务软件的方法,解决了在DOS环境下,支持多任务问题。     

Guidance for transport planning and policymaking in the face of an uncertain future

Uncertainty of outcome is widely recognised as a concern facing decision-makers and their advisors. In a number of spheres of policy, it appears uncertainty has intensified in the face of globalisation, economic instability, climate change, technological innovation and changing consumer preferences. How can planners and policymakers plan for an uncertain future? There is growing interest in, and use of, techniques that can help decision-making processes where deep uncertainty is involved. This paper is based upon one of the most recent international examples of a foresight exercise employed to examine uncertainty – specifically that which concerns uncertainty over the nature and extent of future demand for car travel. The principal focus of the paper is on the insights and guidance this examination of uncertainty brings forth for transport planning and policymaking. To accommodate deep uncertainty requires a flexible and open approach in terms of how policy and investment possibilities are formulated and judged. The paper argues for a focus upon the Triple Access System of spatial proximity, physical mobility and digital connectivity as a framework for policy and investment decisions that can harness flexibility and resilience. Uncertainty becomes an opportunity for decision-makers with the realisation that they are shaping the future rather than (only) responding to a predicted future. The paper outlines two forms of policymaking pathway: regime-compliant (in which adherence to trends and the nature of the world we have known pushes policy) and regime-testing (in which the nature of the world as we have known it is brought into question and vision pulls policy decisions). Stronger orientation towards regime-testing to assist in managing an uncertain future is advocated.     

A network option portfolio management framework for adaptive transportation planning

A real option portfolio management framework is proposed to make use of an adaptive network design problem developed using stochastic dynamic programming methodologies. The framework is extended from Smit’s and Trigeorgis’ option portfolio framework to incorporate network synergies. The adaptive planning framework is defined and tested on a case study with time series origin-destination demand data. Historically, OD time series data is costly to obtain, and there has not been much need for it because most transportation models use a single time-invariant estimate based on deterministic forecasting of demand. Despite the high cost and institutional barriers of obtaining abundant OD time series data, we illustrate how having higher fidelity data along with an adaptive planning framework can result in a number of improved management strategies. An insertion heuristic is adopted to run the lower bound adaptive network design problem for a coarse Iran network with 834 nodes, 1121 links, and 10 years of time series data for 71,795 OD pairs.     

Real time queue length estimation for signalized intersections using travel times from mobile sensors

We study how to estimate real time queue lengths at signalized intersections using intersection travel times collected from mobile traffic sensors. The estimation is based on the observation that critical pattern changes of intersection travel times or delays, such as the discontinuities (i.e., sudden and dramatic increases in travel times) and non-smoothness (i.e., changes of slopes of travel times), indicate signal timing or queue length changes. By detecting these critical points in intersection travel times or delays, the real time queue length can be re-constructed. We first introduce the concept of Queue Rear No-delay Arrival Time which is related to the non-smoothness of queuing delay patterns and queue length changes. We then show how measured intersection travel times from mobile sensors can be processed to generate sample vehicle queuing delays. Under the uniform arrival assumption, the queuing delays reduce linearly within a cycle. The delay pattern can be estimated by a linear fitting method using sample queuing delays. Queue Rear No-delay Arrival Time can then be obtained from the delay pattern, and be used to estimate the maximum and minimum queue lengths of a cycle, based on which the real-time queue length curve can also be constructed. The model and algorithm are tested in a field experiment and in simulation.     

城市轨道交通对房地产价值的影响研究——以武汉市轨道交通为例

城市轨道交通是一种快捷、高效、节能环保的大容量城市客运交通方式,而且对于沿线房地产的开发具有巨大的带动作用.本文定性分析了城市轨道交通对房地产价值的影响机理,并采用地价影响函数模型,对武汉城市轨道交通1号线地价影响函数相关参数进行了标定.定量研究证实了城市轨道交通时房地产价值的拉动作用.最后提出了武汉市轨道交通与房地产...     

房地产开发项目如何确定目标成本探讨

房地产开发项目,其投资包括的费用内容较多,不仅有建安工程费、配套设施费、拆迁费等概预算编制规定的各项费用,还有获取土地价款等有关费用。此文在阐述项目成本费用组成的基础上,重点阐述如何合理确定和控制目标成本,即建立目标成本管理机制、分阶段确定目标成本、推行限额设计加强设计管理、提高造价管理水平等,以达到有效控制目标成本和售后利润的目标。     

重型柴油车NOx排放远程监测准确性研究

文章通过采用不同浓度的反应剂来模拟重型国六柴油车正常状态、临界超标及SCR性能失效状态下的实际道路NOx排放,从而研究远程排放管理平台对超标车型识别的效果。试验结果表明,NOx临界超标与SCR完全失效状态下,远程排放管理平台采集的国六整车实际道路NOx排放与PEMS设备结果基本一致,而正常状态下,尿素过量喷射导致的NH3泄露会对车载NOx传感器精度造成影响,进而导致远程排放管理平台采集的国六整车NOx排放与PEMS设备存在偏差。